Show Notes
Milkshake lost all his money following a tout, and it set him off on a journey to figure out how to win money sports betting.
Show Notes
[00:00] Introduction of sports better, Milkshake [00:38] Milkshake’s path into advantage play [03:09] Top-down betting and going to BetBash 2 [05:25] Moving for professional bettors [09:38] Odds screens, arbitrage, limiting, and nuances of top-down [15:42] Why did $600 move a major market? [16:45] What percentage of Milkshake’s action today is moving versus modeling? [18:24] Making in prediction markets [19:10] Evaluating potential movers [21:57] Betting at kiosks [24:50] Source of truth [26:44] Setting up partnerships [28:22] Camouflage bets, priming accounts [30:45] Faking the market [32:28] Should winning accounts go dormant before being limited? [33:43] Shifting the closing line to avoid CLV [34:51] Milkshake's book and podcast recommendations [36:10] Using sportsbook bonuses
[39:29] How will Milkshake's betting evolve over the next few years? [41:54] Relevant knowledge of sports when top-down betting [43:09] In-game betting [44:17] Can value be found in a team's losing streaks?
Links: x.com/BeBetterBettors x.com/halfkelly Logic of Sports Betting by Ed-Miller https://amzn.to/4x6Wx67
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