Moving Markets

The View Beyond: Market Outlook Year-End 2026 – US headlines, global opportunities

Moving Markets

Show Notes

As we head towards the final quarter of 2026, investors face a shifting landscape where AI remains the key growth engine but market leadership is broadening beyond US technology. With volatility persisting and geopolitical risks still in focus, where might the best opportunities lie for investors positioning their portfolios for the year end? In this episode, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Julius Baer’s Head of Research, Christian Gattiker, and Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong, to discuss their outlook for the markets for the year end. The conversation covers the evolving AI investment cycle and the broadening of equity market leadership, as well as the implications of US politics, Fed uncertainty, and ongoing Middle East tensions. They examine equity opportunities across regions and sectors globally, as well as their preferred positioning in fixed income. The conversation also covers the outlook for the US dollar, oil, and gold. And finally, there’s also a suggestion for investors about what not to do as they head towards 2027.

(00:00) - Introduction

(00:44) - Setting the big picture for 2026 and beyond

(02:13) - US market focus and the AI investment cycle

(03:07) - China’s economic outlook and policy stance

(04:18) - Japan: Rate hike expectations and yen dynamics

(05:27) - Central banks, Middle East tensions, and inflation impact

(07:28) - Portfolio positioning for year-end

(08:26) - Broadening equity market leadership

(10:21) - Fixed income opportunities and duration

(11:58) - Currencies, gold, and oil outlook

(13:49) - What investors should avoid now

(14:22) - Key takeaways from Asia and global perspective

(15:33) - Closing remarks

(16:20) - Legal information

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