Diminishing Returns Math, Jackson Hole Risk & The Clarity Act Delay: Is $350K Bitcoin Still Possible?

With market volatility sinking below bear market lows and the Clarity Act getting benched in Congress, crypto feels stuck in an absolute ghost town.

Ted is back in the studio with Pav to clear out the short-term doomer-posting, dissect what it’ll actually take to shock this market back to life, and map out where digital assets go from here. In this episode, Pav and Ted break down the extreme market apathy pushing volatility below 2023 bear market lows. They cover top weekly movers like Ether.fi’s neobank launch, Chainlink’s integration with JPMorgan, and Venice AI’s revenue growth.

Plus, they unpack the Clarity Act’s delay in Congress, the upcoming Jackson Hole Federal Reserve meeting, and run the numbers on Bitcoin’s diminishing returns to model potential cycle highs for 2029.

You’ll hear:

00:00 Ted returns to celebrate his engagement, while Pav recaps Cirque du Soleil as volatility hits multi-year lows.

04:00 Ether.fi launches a neobank, Venice AI hits $100M ARR, and JPMorgan uses Chainlink oracles for BTC/ETH collateral.

08:00 Analyzing Polymarket odds dropping to 27%, potential September revivals, and Paul Atkins’ SEC stance.

12:17 How US 30-year bond yields, Fed rate policy, and the Jackson Hole Symposium could trigger the next market bottom.

15:20 Breaking down Checkmate’s Collective Shift model alongside Ted’s historical diminishing returns calculations.

21:56 Spotting euphoric retail exit indicators vs. bottoming sentiment in today's market.

… and much more!

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