Show Notes
Susan Kokinda opens with Chatham House's October 15 warning that President Trump could come out of the midterms "unshackled from electoral constraints," and Secretary of State Marco Rubio's answer in Mumbai: "we're no longer going to be defensive." The episode looks at the author of that warning, Dr. Andrew Payne, and his book War on the Ballot, at Halford Mackinder's doctrine, and at Chatham House director Bronwen Maddox on the members of Congress who have come to Chatham House in the run-up to their own elections, with Secretary Rubio on America First. It then turns to the reaction to the President's diesel deal with Russia and his openness to a meeting with Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping, from the Council on Foreign Relations to the Wall Street Journal's "Yalta 2" editorial, with President Trump and Secretary Rubio on talks about nuclear weapons, and the ASEAN, APEC and G20 summits ahead. It closes with what the President is doing without the Congress: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on the tariff authorities, the EPA's repeal of the 2024 power-plant rules, Defense Production Act funding for refining, federal loans for power, drug and manufacturing plants, the White House's $11.3 trillion investment count, and 21 new plant sites announced since October 1.
00:00 Saturday Wrap-Up Intro 01:20 Off the Reservation 04:24 Yalta Panic 08:26 He Doesn't Need Their Permission
Credits Photos: Dr. Andrew Payne, © Chatham House; War on the Ballot (Columbia University Press, 2023), cover; Chatham House, London: Chatham House, CC BY 2.0; Council on Foreign Relations, New York: Ajay Suresh, CC BY 4.0; Trump and Xi, Oval Office, September 24, 2026: The White House. Public domain: U.S. Department of State (Rubio); Official White House Photo (November 27, 2018 briefing; July 4, 2025 bill signing); Architect of the Capitol; Lafayette (Mackinder); The Geographical Journal, April 1904; Benjamin D. Applebaum (Trump and Putin, Anchorage, August 15, 2025); U.S. Army Signal Corps / National Archives (Yalta, 1945); Natural Earth (map). Video: Forbes Breaking News and Mirror Now (Rubio, Mumbai, October 20–21, 2026); Chatham House (Bronwen Maddox, October 16, 2026); U.S. Department of State (Rubio with Breitbart News, October 15, 2026); The White House (October 19, 2026); 2WAY (Scott Bessent, October 20, 2026); Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (Operation Teapot, 1955); U.S. House Armed Services Committee (April 29, 2026). Quoted: Chatham House; Andrew Payne; Council on Foreign Relations, Stephen Sestanovich; The Wall Street Journal editorial board; EPA; Department of Energy; USDA; Department of War Office of Strategic Capital (via Fierce Pharma); Export-Import Bank; The White House, "The Trump Effect"; company, state and federal plant announcements, October 1–23, 2026.
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