Show Notes
While the growth of global emissions has slowed in recent years, there is a large and growing gap between current commitments and what would be needed to avoid exceeding these global temperature limits.
Carbon Brief has provided an analysis of when the world is expected to pass these limits in the absence of large future emissions reductions.
Their analysis shows that:
The world will likely exceed 1.5C between 2030 and 2032 in scenarios where emissions are not rapidly reduced
The 2C threshold will likely be exceeded between 2043 in the highest emissions scenario
In a scenario of modest mitigation – where emissions remain close to current levels – the 2C threshold would be exceeded around 2052.
More from Climate Change for Beginners
Join Dr. Ciarán O’Carroll on 'Climate Change for Beginners' for an eye-opening episode titled 'Why is Chocolate so Expensive?' Explore the intriguing world of chocolate production, uncovering the deep impact of climate change on cocoa prices, shrinkflation, and the livelihoods of West African farmers. Learn about the broader implications of our changing climate on global food supplies, human rights, and what it means for your favorite sweet treats. This fun, accessible podcast breaks down complex issues into beginner-friendly insights, making it the perfect listen for anyone looking to understand the environmental and economic forces shaping our world and our chocolate. Tune in to discover how climate action and sustainable practices can ensure the future of food and indulgence for generations to come.
The Story of Just Stop Oil - In this episode, we delve into the disruptive tactics of the climate activist group, Just Stop Oil. From blocking petrol stations in Central London to scaling the Queen Elizabeth II Bridge, and even spray-painting the exterior of Harrods, the group's bold actions have led to hundreds of arrests but have also sparked important conversations about the climate crisis. Learn about the group's origins, motivations, and how their guerilla tactics have been perceived by the public, the media, and academic experts studying social movements.
Five years ago, the United Nations Paris climate agreement set a ceiling for global warming at well below 2 °C, ideally 1.5 °C relative to pre-industrial levels.