The Loonie Hour

Central Banks Commit to Raising Rates into an Energy Crisis

The Loonie Hour

Show Notes

Central banks are turning increasingly hawkish as an escalating global energy crisis keeps inflation under pressure. We'll break down why policymakers are committing to higher interest rates even as the underlying inflation problem is increasingly driven by energy supply. They discuss the latest moves from the Fed and European central banks, rising global bond yields, surging oil and fuel costs, and what it could mean for Canadian mortgage rates. Meanwhile, Canada’s housing market remains frozen, with national home sales falling to their lowest year-to-date level since 2003.

Join Us For The Loonie Hour Investor Series - With Ben Rabidoux, Live In Ottawa on October 13th!

Get Your Tickets Here: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/the-loonie-hour-investor-series-with-ben-rabidoux-october-13th-tickets-2000313438341

Start an investment portfolio that's built to perform with Neighbourhood Holdings! For Mortgage Brokers: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour-brokers For Investors and Advisors: https://www.neighbourhood.com/looniehour

Check Out True North Mortgage's 40-Year Amortization Plan: Visit https://www.truenorthmortgage.ca/ today!

Schedule an exploration call with IceCap Asset Management: https://icecapassetmanagement.com/contact/

✉️ Media & Real Estate Inquiries: [email protected]

Stay up to date with our information - 📫 My Real Estate Substack: https://stevesaretsky.substack.com 📫 The Loonie Hour Substack: https://looniehour.substack.com/about

📊➡️ Loonie Hour Socials: https://linktr.ee/looniehour

🎙️ Listen to the Podcast on Your Preferred Platform: https://linktr.ee/looniehour

Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 06:52 Canada Housing Hits a 23-Year Low 09:34 Housing Inventory & Cancelled Listings 11:11 Housing Starts Keep Falling 13:18 What Happened to the 500,000 Homes? 14:03 Should Canada Keep the Foreign Buyer Ban? 18:38 Canada’s Massive Investment Push 20:16 Canada Cuts Investment Taxes 22:55 Breaking Down the $500B Investment Commitment 24:53 Where Are the Foreign Investors? 27:13 Canada’s Biggest New Investment Projects 30:27 Did Trump Force Canada to Change Course? 34:24 Canada Embraces Energy Again 38:04 Why Investment Will Take Years to Materialize 42:26 Central Banks Turn Hawkish 46:22 Could the Bank of Canada Raise Rates? 48:02 Higher Rates Won’t Fix Energy Inflation 51:00 Global Bond Markets Under Pressure 56:12 The Global Energy Crisis Deepens 58:43 The World Is Running Out of Energy Capacity 01:01:07 Oil Tanker Costs Explode 01:02:19 Canadian Mortgage Rates Under Pressure 01:05:06 Mortgage Arrears Hit a Decade High 01:06:18 Canada & the European Union 01:09:49 Canada Already Has an EU Trade Deal 01:11:03 Europe’s Sovereign Debt Risks 01:12:28 Would Canadians Actually Move to Europe?

Disclaimer: The information within our content is not intended to be or construed as investment advice. Please consult a professional advisor before putting a "loonie" into any of these financial markets.

#LoonieHour #macroeconomics #centralbank

More from The Loonie Hour

Oct 23, 2026

Today, we'll unpack Canada's growing economic challenges. From Alberta's surprising fiscal surplus and Toronto's struggling condo market to renewed immigration debates and Canada's uncertain trade relationship with the United States, we'll examine the policies shaping the country's trajectory. We'll also discuss Europe's political and fiscal instability and what it could mean for global markets, including a plan for Canada to pursue an "associate-member" status with the European Union.

Oct 16, 2026

Today, we're joined by Fraser Matthews, CEO of Netcoins, to discuss the rise of stablecoins, their impact on the banking system, and the future of digital payments. Are stablecoins an existential threat to traditional banks or the railways and bridges connecting traditional finance and the on-chain economy? We also tackle Canada's struggling housing market, stubborn inflation, rising bond yields, and the growing risks facing financial markets.

Oct 9, 2026

British Columbia is facing a record $13.8 billion budget deficit, mounting tax pressures, and a struggling housing market. With the October 24 election approaching, we sit down with B.C. Conservative Leader Lorne Doerkson to discuss the province's fiscal challenges, the NDP's tax policies, housing affordability, stalled development, the rampant crime and drug use, and the future of investment in British Columbia. We also examine the political shakeup in Quebec, rising global bond yields, mounting concerns over government debt, and the Canadian dollar's weakness against the U.S. dollar. Could higher long-term interest rates put even more pressure on Canada's economy and housing market?

Oct 2, 2026

Bond markets are deteriorating rapidly as yields rise and credit spreads begin to widen across the U.S., Canada, Europe, and Japan. We discuss what tightening financial conditions could mean for housing, equities, the broader economy, as well as the possibility that a short-term recovery in bonds could ultimately prove to be a bear trap. Meanwhile, B.C.’s condo market continues to struggle with thousands of completed and unsold units as developers face mounting pressure. We also discuss Canada’s debt maturity schedule, Saskatchewan's push toward nuclear power, taxes and talent retention, and the renewed debate over immigration and temporary foreign workers.

Sep 25, 2026

Today, we'll break down the renewed surge in global bond yields and what it could mean for interest rates, mortgages, housing, and the broader economy. Long-term yields are climbing across central banks globally, putting renewered pressure on borrowing costs just as households and businesses faces further challenges. We also discuss Canada's slowing population growth and rental market, mounting stress in US housing and multifamily real estate, weakness beneath the surface of the US consumer, and why companies like McDonald's are warning that sticky, elevated food inflation and flat customer traffic are the "new normal".

See all episodes →