Algy's Investment Podcast

Pete Davies: Where are the Risks and Rewards Over the Next Decade? | #24

Algy's Investment Podcast

Show Notes

Pete Davies, Head of Developed Markets Strategy at Lansdowne Partners, explains why this decade could look nothing like the last. From rising public-sector risk to the return of tangible assets and a new AI investment cycle.

We cover:

​The macro shift investors aren’t positioned for: re-industrialisation, capex, and de-globalisation ​Why banks - not tech - may offer lower risk today ​The AI thesis most investors misunderstand (and who actually profits) ​Steel, energy, and “real assets” making a comeback ​How elite fund managers think about risk, concentration, and mistakes• Stocks with potential to double ​Would he buy Starlink if it IPO’d?

00:00 Intro 02:27 The Big Macro Shift Investors Aren’t Positioned For 03:59 De-globalisation, Political Risk & The New Market Regime 06:28 The Hidden Danger of Investment “Style Boxes” 08:53 Why Active Management May Beat the Index This Decade 11:44 Inside the Portfolio: Why So Much Capital Is in Banks 14:22 Banks vs Tech: Where Is Risk Really Lower?19:34 The AI Investment Thesis Most Investors Miss 21:01 Picks, Shovels & Who Actually Profits From AI 24:15 Robotics, Physical Intelligence & The Next Wave 28:42 Defence Spending, Geopolitics & Aerospace Winners 38:45 Tariffs, Trade Wars & Protecting Local Assets 45:20 Gold, Energy & Nuclear: Positioning for Resource Scarcity 1:04:22 Housing, Construction & the Case for “Real Assets” 1:11:45 How Elite Fund Managers Think About Risk 1:15:30 Investment Mistakes & What They Teach You 1:19:33 AI vs The Human Brain: What Machines Still Can’t Do 1:20:51 Stocks That Could Double (And Where Upside Lives) 1:22:02 Adapting After 30+ Years in Markets 1:24:00 Would He Buy Starlink? 1:26:32 Final Takeaways for Investors

This episode was recorded on 12th January 2026

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