Show Notes
The final Global Dairy Trade auction of 2025 closed with another broad-based pullback, as the GDT index fell roughly 4.5%—marking the ninth consecutive lower auction. While mozzarella stood out with a nearly 7% gain and cheddar finished unchanged, losses in whole milk powder, skim milk powder, butter, and AMF weighed heavily on the overall result. In this episode, Cody Koster and John Spainhower break down why today’s auction was “lower, but not as bad as expected” in some categories, how futures stacked up against reality, and what surprised markets most—particularly the downside move in skim milk powder. They also dig into regional buying behavior, including China’s return to more typical volumes and the noticeable pullback from Southeast Asia and the Middle East. The conversation wraps with a big-picture look at the global dairy landscape, where expanding milk production across the U.S., EU, New Zealand, and South America continues to pressure prices—despite growing global cheese demand. With supply firmly in the driver’s seat, the team discusses what it may take to rebalance markets as we head into 2026. _ Disclaimer: TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS ON FUTURES INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS AND MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR EVERYONE. THEREFORE, CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION. PAST RESULTS ARE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THE INFORMATION AND COMMENTS CONTAINED HEREIN ARE PROVIDED BY EVER.AG AS GENERAL COMMENTARY OF MARKET CONDITIONS. THIS INFORMATION SHOULD NOT BE INTERPRETED AS TRADING ADVICE OR RECOMMENDATION WITHOUT FURTHER DISCUSSION WITH YOUR EVER.AG ADVISOR. THIS IS A MATTER OF SOLICITATION. EVER.AG INSURANCE SERVICES IS A LICENSED INSURANCE AGENCY AND AN AFFILIATE OF EVER.AG. INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IN THIS WEBSITE IS COMPILED FOR THE CONVENIENCE OF THE USER. INFORMATION IS OBTAINED FROM SOURCES BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE AND IS FURNISHED WITHOUT RESPONSIBILITY FOR ACCURACY OR CONTENT. MARKET DATA IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE AT ANY TIME. Ever.Ag is a licensed insurance agency in the following states: AZ, CA, CO, CT, FL, GA, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NM, NY, NC, ND, OK, OH, OR, PA, RI, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY. -- The following music was used for this media project: Music: Funky Intro 29 by TaigaSoundProd Free download: https://filmmusic.io/song/9520-funky-intro-29 License (CC BY 4.0): https://filmmusic.io/standard-license Artist website: https://linktr.ee/taigasoundprod © Ever.Ag 2025, confidential and proprietary.
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Cody Koster and Jon Spainhour break down the latest GDT auction, including gains in milk powders, falling cheddar prices, regional purchasing trends, and what widening global price gaps could mean for US dairy exports.
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