FT News Briefing

What a local ceasefire means for the Russia-Ukraine war

FT News Briefing

Summary

A temporary localized ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine is currently in effect around the Ukrainian town of Oleshki, which has seen its population drop from 24,000 to approximately 2,000 due to the ongoing conflict. This ceasefire, lasting until November 1, aims to facilitate humanitarian aid and allow residents to bury their dead amid ongoing violence from Russian drone strikes. The ceasefire represents a significant de-escalation since Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022, although questions remain about its potential to lead to a broader peace agreement.

Russian President Vladimir Putin recently engaged in discussions with Finnish President Alexander Stube and Norwegian Prime Minister Sore, marking his first conversation with a European leader since last summer. The talks are part of a broader effort by European nations to influence peace negotiations, as their security interests are closely tied to the situation in Ukraine. Meanwhile, the U.S. administration is exploring economic incentives to encourage negotiations, including the possibility of reviving business ties with Russia post-conflict, particularly in the energy sector.

In Brazil, the re-election of left-wing politician Luis Inacio Lula da Silva has caused significant market turmoil, with the Brazilian real plummeting 8% against the dollar and local stocks falling sharply. Investors had anticipated a victory for Lula's opponent, Flavio Bolsonaro, who promised more business-friendly policies. Lula's campaign commitments to increased government spending have raised concerns about fiscal responsibility, and the lack of a clear economic plan has left investors anxious about the future.

In Asia, China's tech market is experiencing a downturn, with significant declines in stock values amid a broader economic slowdown. Analysts attribute this to changes in tax regulations affecting offshore wealth and the lingering effects of a property market collapse. The sentiment surrounding China's tech sector has shifted dramatically from last year, reflecting a more cautious outlook as the country grapples with its economic challenges.

Show Notes

Washington and Moscow are discussing a potential return by American companies to the Russian oil market as a localised ceasefire begins in the Ukrainian town of Oleshky, exit polls suggest there’s no clear winner in the Israel elections, and Brazil’s president is facing down a fiscal reckoning after winning re-election. Plus, China AI stocks are in a bear market, and UK chancellor John Healey will unveil the Autumn Budget.

Mentioned in this podcast: Washington discusses Russian deals for US oil majors in Ukraine peace talks Vladimir Putin speaks with Norwegian and Finnish leaders Russia and Ukraine begin local ceasefire in frontline city What happens next after Israel’s election? Lula faces a fiscal reckoning after Brazil’s market rout Flávio Bolsonaro’s passport cancelled as reports say he has fled Brazil The AI bubble already popped — in China Tech stocks gain as AI trade revives Want to get in touch? Email us at [email protected]

Note: The FT does not use generative AI to voice its podcasts

The FT News Briefing is produced by Sonja Hutson, Saffeya Ahmed, and Josh Gabert-Doyon. Our editor is Marc Filippino. Our video producer is Zachary Alfred. Our show is mixed by Sam Giovinco and Alex Higgins. Additional help from Gavin Kallmann, Michael Lello, Vanessa Brown, Peter Barber and David da Silva. Our executive producer is Topher Forhecz. Flo Phillips is the FT’s global head of audio. The show’s theme music is by Metaphor Music.

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