Know Your Risk Podcast

A Brazil ETF Plunged 38%. They Bought.

Know Your Risk Podcast

Show Notes

October 26, 2026 - A political shock sends investors scrambling out of Brazil. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor see a reason to start buying. Chase describes adding a small position in a Brazilian small-cap ETF that fell as much as 38% intraday before closing down roughly 31.6%—and explains why he thinks the selling went further than the underlying businesses justified.

Their argument isn’t that Brazil’s problems disappeared. High interest rates, government deficits and political uncertainty remain real obstacles. The question is whether investors had priced in too much optimism before the election—and then swung too far toward pessimism afterward.

That same search for indiscriminate selling leads them to software stocks, including Adobe, DocuSign and Toast. They discuss how the AI trade could keep pressuring the sector, why company fundamentals still matter, and how stock charts can reveal a turn before the business story becomes obvious.

Plus, conflicting signals from the oil market, the approaching U.S. midterms, and why Zach would consider buying an election-driven selloff if the economy’s biggest spending engines remain intact.

Schedule your free Know Your Risk Review at KnowYourRiskRadio.com

More from Know Your Risk Podcast

Oct 23, 2026

October 23, 2026 - AI stocks have already delivered enormous gains. That doesn’t mean the best evidence points to a top. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor explain their reluctant bullish case: demand could have much further to run, and some of the companies supplying the buildout look surprisingly inexpensive if projected earnings materialize.

Oct 22, 2026

October 22, 2026 - The AI buildout can keep going while shareholders pay a growing price. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor examine Meta’s financing plans and the risk that issuing more stock to fund enormous spending commitments dilutes the investors already holding shares . The tension runs through a confusing market session: AI stocks and gold miners fall, Apple rallies, oil climbs and bond yields drop. Is this an economic warning, investors unwinding crowded trades, or a combination of both? Zach and Chase explain why they’re questioning the signals without declaring the AI investment cycle over.

Oct 21, 2026

October 21, 2026 - A Tesla–SpaceX combination could give investors a bigger growth story. But who would actually be funding it? Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor unpack the merger talk and question whether Tesla shareholders would be financing SpaceX’s capital demands while still paying a growth-stock valuation.

Oct 20, 2026

October 20, 2026 - The next catalyst for AI stocks might come from the oil market. Chase Taylor explains why an end to the Iran war—and the relief it could bring to energy prices, inflation and borrowing costs—could change the outlook for companies financing the AI buildout.

Oct 19, 2026

October 19, 2026 - Believing AI will change the world is one thing. Knowing which stocks will reward investors is another. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor explain why they can be enthusiastic about the technology while questioning whether today’s AI infrastructure winners belong in a buy-and-hold portfolio.

See all episodes →