Arlan Suderman: Commodity Outlook

Big Week for Commodities: Iran War, China Deal & USDA WASDE Could Move Markets

Arlan Suderman: Commodity Outlook

Show Notes

Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, outlines why this is a pivotal week for commodities — with the Iran conflict, U.S.–China trade negotiations, and the USDA WASDE report all converging to drive market direction. In this May 11 update, Arlan covers: Why the ongoing Iran conflict continues to tighten global energy and fertilizer supplies How disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz are impacting oil, inflation, and global growth What to expect from President Trump’s trip to Beijing and potential U.S.–China trade agreements Which ag commodities could be included in a deal — and why soybeans may not be a major factor Key expectations heading into the USDA WASDE report and new crop balance sheets Why corn, soybean, and wheat ending stocks may come in tighter than trade estimates How markets could react to trade surprises, weather risks, or geopolitical developments What to watch as volatility increases heading into summer Stay ahead of the markets with Arlan’s Market Intelligence Plan: https://shop.stonex.com/products/us-ag-analyst-insights?selling_plan=4455759972&variant=45955325001… Subscribe for more market insight from Arlan Suderman and StoneX. #ArlanSuderman #StoneX #Commodities #AgMarkets #WASDE #EnergyMarkets #OilMarkets #ChinaTrade #Iran #GrainMarkets

More from Arlan Suderman: Commodity Outlook

Jul 27, 2026

Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, explains why commodity markets are selling off despite ongoing geopolitical risks, and why the long-term fundamentals may tell a different story. In this July 27 update, Arlan covers: Why crude oil, grain, and oilseed markets moved sharply lower How algorithmic trading is driving today's market action The latest developments in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea Why weather remains the dominant factor for corn and soybean futures What current crop ratings and yield models are signaling The growing concern over fertilizer availability for the 2027 crop year Why the Black Sea remains a key geopolitical risk How strong biofuel demand continues supporting soybean crush The latest on China's soybean buying commitments and what they could mean for U.S. balance sheets Why money flow—not just fundamentals—is driving today's commodity markets Stay ahead of the markets with Arlan's Market Intelligence Plan: US Agriculture Market Reports, Data & Trends - Free Trial | StoneX Subscribe for more market insight from Arlan Suderman and StoneX. #ArlanSuderman #StoneX #CommodityMarkets #GrainMarkets #CornMarkets #Soybeans #AlgorithmicTrading #WeatherMarkets #ChinaTrade #Biofuels #Agriculture #MarketUpdate

Jul 13, 2026

How are two global conflicts reshaping commodity markets? In this StoneX Market Intelligence update, Chief Commodities Economist Arlan Suderman explains how escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and the Black Sea are impacting energy, grain, and global trade. In this update, Arlan covers: The latest developments in the Strait of Hormuz and their impact on crude oil and shipping Ukraine's attacks on Russian fuel infrastructure and Black Sea logistics Why the Kerch Strait is critical for global wheat exports Russia's response and what it means for grain markets China's agricultural purchasing outlook and implications for U.S. exports U.S. Corn Belt weather and the outlook for corn and soybean production With geopolitical risks rising in two key commodity-producing regions, markets are closely watching energy flows, grain exports, Chinese demand, and U.S. crop conditions. Subscribe to StoneX Market Intelligence for timely analysis of grain, energy, and global commodity markets: US Ag Analyst Insights - Market Reports Subscription Follow Arlan Suderman for the latest market insights. #StraitOfHormuz #BlackSea #CommodityMarkets #GrainMarkets #Wheat #Corn #Soybeans #CrudeOil #StoneX #OATT #OOTT

Jul 10, 2026

Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, explains why wheat markets rallied ahead of USDA's report—and why renewed conflict in the Black Sea may be the bigger story for commodity markets. In this July 10 update, Arlan covers: Why wheat prices surged despite a generally favorable U.S. weather outlook How Ukraine's attacks in the Sea of Azov are disrupting Russian exports Why the Kerch Strait has become a key geopolitical risk What renewed Black Sea tensions could mean for global wheat trade Why traders are beginning to add risk premium back into wheat markets How Russia's fuel infrastructure and exports continue to face pressure Why corn and soybean prices remain capped by improving weather forecasts What to watch in USDA's latest crop report The key market risks heading into next week Stay ahead of the markets with Arlan's Market Intelligence Plan: US Ag Analyst Insights - Market Reports Subscription Subscribe for more market insight from Arlan Suderman and StoneX. #ArlanSuderman #StoneX #WheatMarkets #BlackSea #Ukraine #CommodityMarkets #GrainMarkets #CornMarkets #Soybeans #USDA #Agriculture #MarketUpdate

Jul 9, 2026

Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, explains why renewed attacks in the Strait of Hormuz aren't triggering panic in commodity markets—and what traders should be watching instead. In this July 9 update, Arlan covers: Why Iran's latest attacks on commercial ships have disrupted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz How the U.S. response is changing the security outlook in the region Why shipping costs and insurance premiums continue to rise The long-term implications for crude oil, diesel, natural gas, and fertilizer markets Why grain and oilseed markets are shifting their focus back to Midwest weather How changing weather forecasts are impacting corn pollination and soybean development The latest on China's soybean purchases and what they signal for future demand Why China's political commitments could reshape U.S. grain exports What to watch next as geopolitical risk and agricultural fundamentals continue to collide Stay ahead of the markets with Arlan's Market Intelligence Plan: US Ag Analyst Insights - Market Reports Subscription Subscribe for more market insight from Arlan Suderman and StoneX. #ArlanSuderman #StoneX #CommodityMarkets #StraitOfHormuz #Iran #GrainMarkets #CornMarkets #Soybeans #EnergyMarkets #ChinaTrade #Agriculture #MarketUpdate

Jun 26, 2026

Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, looks back on a difficult month for commodity markets and explains the three key factors that will determine where grain and oilseed prices go next. In this June 26 update, Arlan covers: Why 23 of 27 major commodities declined during June How changing market sentiment has shifted money out of commodities Why the Strait of Hormuz remains a wildcard despite ceasefire headlines What to expect from USDA's upcoming Quarterly Stocks and Acreage reports How July weather and corn pollination could shape the market Why China’s soybean purchases remain one of the biggest unknowns What additional demand from China or Iran could mean for U.S. balance sheets Why strong biofuel demand continues supporting soybean crush The long-term outlook for corn, soybeans, and global agricultural demand Stay ahead of the markets with Arlan’s Market Intelligence Plan: US Ag Analyst Insights - Market Reports Subscription Subscribe for more market insight from Arlan Suderman and StoneX. #ArlanSuderman #StoneX #CommodityMarkets #GrainMarkets #CornMarkets #Soybeans #USDA #ChinaTrade #Agriculture #MarketOutlook #RiskManagement #Weather

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