Excess death debate

Professor Paul Goddard and Professor Angus Dalgleish.

Rise of natural acquired immunityUploaded 01-09-22Get additional scientific background from John’s free text books,http://159.69.48.3/(you will need to cut and paste this link into your browser)Risk of BA.5 Infection among Persons Exposed to Previous SARS-CoV-2 Variantshttps://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2209479?query=TOC&cid=NEJM%20eToc,%20September%201,%202022%20DM1402792_NEJM_Non_Subscriber&bid=1141953912https://www.nejm.org/doi/suppl/10.1056/NEJMc2209479/suppl_file/nejmc2209479_appendix.pdfOmicron subvariants, BA.1 and BA.2, displaced by BA.5 in many countriesGreater transmissibilityPartial evasion of BA.1- and BA.2-induced immunityPortugal, one of the first countries affected by a BA.5 predominanceN = 9,307,996All Portuguese residents aged 12 years and older, (National Census 2021) Uninfected people in June 1st 2022 was 5, 328, 287, (57% of the Portuguese population over 12) (PCR tests and rapid antigen tests to diagnose cases) Presence of undocumented infections among the “uninfected” group of individuals 29.2% of infections were not notified(based on the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 anti-N IgG in the population) National coronavirus disease 2019 registry (SINAVE)(all reported cases in the country, regardless of clinical presentation)To calculate the risk of BA.5 infection after documented infection with past variants, including BA.1 and BA.2Times when different variants represented more than 90% of the isolatesTo calculate their infection risk during the period of BA.5 dominancePooled BA.1 and BA.2 (slow transition between the two subvariants)Comparator groupPopulation that did not have any documented infection before BA.5 dominance (June 1, 2022)ResultsWuhan-Hu-1 55.7%Alpha 58.8%Delta 64.5%BA.1 / BA.2 7 6.8%We found that previous SARS-CoV-2 infection had a protective effect against BA.5 infectionProtection was maximal for previous infection with BA.1 or BA.2 (not suprising)ContextPortugal more than 98% of the study population completed the primary vaccination series before 2022There is a perception that the protection afforded by previous BA.1 or BA.2 infection is very low, given the high number of BA.5 infections among persons with previous BA.1 or BA.2 infection. Our data indicate that this perception is probably a consequence of the larger pool of persons with BA.1 or BA.2 infection than with infection by other subvariants, and it is not supported by the data.Breakthrough infections with the BA.5 subvariant were less likely among persons with a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection history … especially for previous BA.1 or BA.2 infection, than among uninfected persons. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Professor Angus Dalgleish, physician, oncologist, pathologist, medical researcher and author. Get your copy of The Death of Science, https://gazellebookservices.co.uk/pro...Uploaded 21-02-24Also by Professor Dalgleish, The Origin of the Virus: The hidden truths behind the microbe that killed millions of people, https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/185457106... Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Link to but the book, https://covidthroughoureyes.com.au/products/covid-through-our-eyes-an-australian-story-of-mistakes-mistreatment-and-misinformation Letters from Australia is Alison Bevege's Substack, https://lettersfromaustralia.substack.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

‘Excess mortality’ continuing surge causes concernsUploaded 27-11-23https://insurancenewsnet.com/innarticle/excess-mortality-continuing-surge-causes-concernsLife insurance executives and actuaries believe the numbers are alarmingLife insurers paid record levels of claims in 2021,biggest one-year increase since 1918Distributed a record $100.28 billion in total death benefits.Younger adult death rate up 20% in 2023Center of Disease Control that show mortality rates alarmingly rising for different categories. The surge in excess deaths caught carriers off guard15 – 19 years% difference from 20192018, 1%2020, 21%2021, 28%2022, 21%2023, (Jan – May), 24%30 – 34 years% difference from 20192018, -1%2020, 30%2021, 42%2022, 30%2023, (Jan – May), 23%40 – 44 years% difference from 20192018, -2%2020, 30%2021, 45%2022, 30%2023, (Jan – May), 25%Cause of death data show increased cardiac mortality in all ages.As COVID-related causes declined in 2022, others rose, particularly stroke, diabetes, kidney and liver diseases.Society of Actuaries pollIn August 2022, 85% thought excess morality rates would continue to 2025. In September 2023, 79% believed excess mortality rates will continue through 2026.UK datahttps://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiYmUwNmFhMjYtNGZhYS00NDk2LWFlMTAtOTg0OGNhNmFiNGM0IiwidCI6ImVlNGUxNDk5LTRhMzUtNGIyZS1hZDQ3LTVmM2NmOWRlODY2NiIsImMiOjh9Our world in data linkhttps://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-p-scores-average-baseline Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices