One Decision

The Largest Oil Supply Shock in History: Inside the Strait of Hormuz Crisis | Helima Croft

One Decision

Show Notes

The Strait of Hormuz is in a chokehold. The scale of this oil supply disruption has already exceeded the shocks of the 1970s. Sir Richard Dearlove and Rosanna Lockwood sit down with Helima Croft, Managing Director and Head of Global Commodity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets and former senior CIA analyst, to break down what market players are getting wrong, why reopening the Strait is far harder than it looks, and what a Houthi entry into the conflict could mean for the Red Sea.

In this episode:

3:04 Technical Side of Supply Disruption

6:11 IEA and Comparison to Russia-Ukraine

9:32 Alternative Routes for Oil and Gas

12:08 Russia is the Big Winner

13:13 Ground Troops Needed to Open the Strait of Hormuz

17:14 The US Domestic Picture

21:43 Will Houthis Disrupt the Red Sea?

27:52 What Market Participants Are Not Understanding

30:57 Is $200 Barrel Crude Oil Possible?

33:19 Sir Richard and Rosanna Discussion

Hosted by Sir Richard Dearlove (former MI6 Chief) and Rosanna Lockwood (International Journalist) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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