The National Security Podcast

Thinking beyond tomorrow: national security and strategic foresight

The National Security Podcast

Summary

Australia faces an evolving national security landscape, with a significant rise in public concern about security issues, particularly regarding artificial intelligence, economic crises, and disinformation. Recent surveys indicate that 64% of Australians are now worried about national security, a notable increase from previous years. Experts from the National Security College's Futures Hub emphasize the importance of foresight in understanding and preparing for these emerging threats. They advocate for breaking down silos in policy-making to better recognize patterns and connections across various domains, including social resilience and economic prosperity.

The discussion highlights the necessity of thinking beyond immediate concerns and considering multiple potential futures. Laura Stewart and Ryan Young from the Futures Hub stress that while predicting the future is impossible, fostering a mindset open to various possibilities can enhance resilience and preparedness. They encourage individuals and policymakers to challenge their assumptions about the future and to engage in conversations that explore different scenarios and their implications. By doing so, they aim to empower Australians to navigate the uncertainties ahead and actively shape a more secure future.

The experts also point out the cultural differences in perceptions of the future, noting that while Australians may feel pessimistic about national and international prospects, there is often optimism about personal futures. They urge a collective effort to articulate desired outcomes for the future and to understand the trade-offs involved in achieving those goals. Ultimately, the conversation calls for proactive engagement and dialogue at all levels of society to address the complexities of the future and the challenges it may bring.

Show Notes

How can Australia prepare for a future it cannot predict? What can emerging trends and weak signals tell us about tomorrow's national security challenges? And what should Australians be asking themselves when thinking about the future they want the country to have?

In this episode, Sharryn Parker is joined by Dr Ryan Young and Laura Stewart to discuss how strategic foresight can help governments and policymakers challenge their assumptions and make more resilient decisions in an uncertain world.

Sharryn Parker is a Senior Policy Advisor at the ANU National Security College (NSC), on secondment from the Department of Defence. Dr Ryan Young is the Director of Research and Methods at the NSC Futures Hub. Laura Stewart is a Senior Advisor at the NSC Futures Hub.

TRANSCRIPT

Show notes: Futures Hub strengthens foresight capability across the region NSC Futures Hub – upcoming programs NSC academic programs – find out more No worries? Australian attitudes to national security, risk and resilience

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