
Show Notes
The latest Marist poll of Texas likely voters just dropped, and the Senate race is a dead heat. Democrat James Talarico is at 47%, Republican Ken Paxton at 45%. Independents are breaking for Talarico at 52%, while a majority of the same voters still think Paxton is going to win the seat anyway. That gap between the numbers and the expectation is the real story here. Gov. Greg Abbott (R) is holding a 49-45 edge over Gina Hinojosa for governor among likely voters, with seven in 10 Texans convinced the incumbent will win. The generic congressional ballot shows Republicans up five points. But Trump’s job approval in Texas is upside down at 46% approve to 54% disapprove, and 43% of likely voters say their family finances have gotten worse over the last year. Thirty-eight percent say their congressional vote is mainly against the president. These are the numbers driving the competitiveness, not some sudden leftward shift in the state. The partisan divides are sharp, the money is flowing, and the early-vote window is about to open. If you care about whether Texas stays red or whether the midterms turn into a referendum on the last year of economic pain and presidential approval, this poll is the clearest snapshot we have right now. Watch the numbers, not the spin.
Pat also covered:
Kamala Harris tells Keke Palmer her laugh comes from “powerful women who laughed from their bellies” and insists critics “are not going to take my joy.”
JD Vance at a Texas rally for Ken Paxton tells a supporter “I love you too, sir — in a totally platonic way. I’m the vice president, not James Talarico.”
New White House press secretary Katie Zacharia looks nervous and stiff in her first briefing, calls on only three reporters, ends it early, and slips by calling her husband “my president.”
Top baby names in England and Wales (2025 ONS data): Olivia remains #1 for girls; Muhammad is #1 for boys for the third straight year.
Donald Trump at a Youngstown, Ohio, rally says Iran will not get nuclear weapons and that U.S. action has significantly weakened the regime.
Do you trust these Marist numbers on the Texas Senate race, or do you think the likely-voter screen is off? Have you seen your own finances get worse, stay the same, or improve over the last 12 months?
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00:00 Pat Gray UNLEASHED!
00:20 More on Keith Malinak's Health
02:32 Eagles Documentary on Netflix
05:22 Most Expensive Football Tickets
09:30 Kalshi Poll Watch
16:39 Abdul El-Sayed Panders to the University of Michigan
23:41 President Trump on the War with Iran
26:34 Kamala Harris Talks about Her Laugh
35:19 Kamala Harris Asked if She's Running for President
37:27 Chewing the Fat
54:05 JD Vance Insinuates that James Talarico is Gay
55:14 JD Vance on James Talarico's Views on Teachers
57:22 JD Vance on James Talarico's "Racism is a Virus" Comment
59:16 JD Vance Asked about Ken Paxton
1:00:34 Ken Paxton at Texas Youth Summit
1:03:37 Pictures of Ken Paxton with JD Vance
1:10:00 Gas / Oil Prices
1:12:54 White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia is a Little Nervous
1:15:49 Katie Zacharia Passed the Bar Exam in China???
1:23:34 Is Barbera Thornhill a Reptilian?!
1:24:38 The Resignation of Kimberly Guilfoyle
1:29:39 President Trump on Kimberly Guilfoyle Allegations
1:32:31 Traditional British Names
More from Pat Gray Unleashed
Trump just did something Biden never managed: He got a 74-year-old American out of a Russian prison after more than four years, and he didn’t have to hand over a single prisoner in return. Stephen Hubbard, a retired Michigan teacher and Air Force/National Guard veteran who had been living in Ukraine, was detained by Russian forces in April 2022 and later sentenced to nearly seven years on mercenary charges his family has long called fabricated. The State Department eventually designated him wrongfully detained. For years, his family watched the case stall. Then last week, Trump raised Hubbard’s name directly with Putin on a phone call. On Wednesday, while envoy Steve Witkoff was meeting Putin in St. Petersburg, Hubbard was released and taken to the airport. Trump called it unprecedented — “out of respect for President Trump,” no swap required — and immediately added the line that will stick: Biden should have done this long ago. “What a difference a president makes.”
Texas parents are opening their mailboxes to find unsolicited envelopes addressed to the “students” in their household from something calling itself the Texas Transgender Student Union. The enclosed guide walks minors through what to do if their parents aren’t supportive of a “trans” identity: find a “safe adult” like a teacher or counselor, pursue legal emancipation as young as 16, and look for out-of-state medical care for hormones. It even tells kids that groups are ready to become their “found family.” The timing is hard to ignore. The mailers started showing up as early voting opened for the November 3 election. The sender traces to a limited liability company formed in Wyoming on September 2 with a registered-agent address used by hundreds of thousands of shell companies and a return address near Houston that doesn’t check out. The Transgender Education Network of Texas, whose name and links appear throughout the brochure, says it did not author, authorize, or distribute the mailers or the earlier text campaign that used its branding. Sara Gonzales posted photos after one arrived at her home and called it evil. No one has publicly claimed responsibility.
A campaign official for Michigan U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed just admitted on hidden camera that El-Sayed receives illegal overseas donations. James O’Keefe’s undercover video shows regional field organizer Abdoul Beckwith saying, “You know, he has people from overseas that donate to him,” then confirming, “No it is not allowed.” He describes the pass-through: Overseas money goes to a family member, who then gives it to the campaign, adding “Everybody does it!” This is the exact foreign-national contribution ban under 52 U.S.C. § 30121. Beckwith also tells the undercover journalist that El-Sayed cannot openly reject Hamas or the Muslim Brotherhood “because he’s going to lose the people that brought him up in the first place.” He warns that denouncing the Muslim Brotherhood would make Muslim supporters think El-Sayed is “siding with the genociders,” and he claims white and Jewish staffers will eventually “hijack” the candidate. The Michigan Democratic Party has already terminated Beckwith after the footage surfaced.
The night before far-left rioters torched Limoges’ historic town hall and French cities erupted in looting and arson, President Emmanuel Macron was at a Celine Dion concert in Nanterre. On Friday, he sat among roughly 35,000 spectators after days in Brussels. On Saturday, the protests over school conditions, teacher shortages, inequality, and the rising cost of living turned into the worst unrest in years. Masked far-left groups smashed their way into the 19th-century Limoges town hall, set it ablaze, and brought down the clock tower and belfry. The mayor called it a premeditated arson attack and said people inside feared for their lives. Nationwide, nearly 1,800 people were arrested, more than 500 police, gendarmes, and firefighters were injured, shops were looted, and public buildings were targeted. Macron later issued statements condemning the violence and promising prosecutions, but the optics of the concert the night before have drawn the obvious criticism: He doesn’t act like he cares that the country is burning. The full hour digs into the sequence, the far-left role in the destruction, the mayor’s fury over the lack of protection, and what the indifference means.
A 16-year-old walked into Silver Rail Elementary in Bend, Oregon, just after 1 p.m. Thursday and murdered three children — ages 5, 8, and 11 — and a teacher. Another child and a teacher were left in critical condition. He forced entry by shooting at the locked doors with his mother’s shotgun. Then a student’s dad who saw him go in pursued him inside and ended it. Dispatch audio caught what happened before officers even cleared the building: The shooter had been neutralized, possibly by a father at the school. Bend Police Chief Mike Krantz later confirmed that a community member who watched the suspect enter followed him in and engaged him. The teen was dead when police arrived, roughly three minutes after the first calls. Oregon Governor Tina Kotek (D) thanked the community member who “heroically intervened to stop further loss of life.” This is the story that keeps getting buried under the usual script. Locked doors did not stop the shooter. A legally armed parent did. The same people who insist that only law enforcement can handle these moments now have another case where a civilian was already inside and finished the job before the first officer reached the hallway.