Episode 466 | Autonomy Signals: Robotaxis, Autonomous Excavators and Drones That Can Find You

Danny Bernstein, Founder & CEO, RESERVOIR and Paige Bailey, AI Developer Relations Lead, Google DeepMind joined Grayson Brulte on The Road to Autonomy podcast to discuss how rugged Physical AI is moving out of simulation and onto the farm. Simulation alone cannot carry Physical AI into agriculture. Rain, mud, diesel power requirements and extreme heat break systems that perform flawlessly in sim, which is why RESERVOIR built a working farm in Salinas where startups deploy immediately instead of waiting six to nine months after raising capital. Bonsai Robotics, which tested at RESERVOIR has sold more than 400 robots, and its $60,000 autonomous hybrid tractor flexes between strawberries and vineyards because the team understands grower economics as deeply as robotics. The farm itself is being redesigned for autonomy. Bayer is breeding broccoli for automated harvest, orchards are moving to two dimensional trellising, and physics is beginning to replace chemicals as California tightens regulation. Google DeepMind is positioning Gemini and Gemma as the flexible intelligence layer for this shift, from crop vision to on device robotics.

This week on Autonomy Signals presented by KPMG, Grayson Brulte and Rob Grant discuss Waymo scaling its robotaxi fleet fivefold, Neolix closing the largest autonomous driving funding round in China this year, and GM betting big on personally owned autonomous vehicles. Backed by a $5 billion loan and $16 billion in equity, Waymo plans to grow its fleet from roughly 4,000 vehicles to 20,000 by the end of 2027 while expanding into the Madrid and Toronto markets. With capital secured, throughput at its Mesa integration facility is now the binding constraint, and the current pace points closer to 14,000 vehicles. Neolix raised nearly $400 million in a Series E round and signed an agreement with Malaysian conglomerate Sunway Group to deploy its L4 delivery vehicles across Sunway’s properties. The partnership offers a ready distribution channel and a monsoon season stress test, though Malaysia’s pending data protection framework could raise the cost of expanding across Southeast Asia. GM plans to sell personally owned eyes off vehicles by 2028, starting with premium full size models using LiDAR, radar, and cameras powered by a liquid cooled central compute unit built in house. Bringing the technology to both EV and combustion lineups reaches GM’s most profitable buyers, but competing capital priorities and Tesla’s L4 ambitions could make the feature look dated on arrival.

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss field reports from Nashville, Dallas and Houston, takeaways from Tesla’s earnings call, Waymo’s accelerating fleet growth, a mysterious effort to stop robotaxis in Washington, D.C. In Nashville, Grayson tours two Waymo depots near Nashville International Airport (BNA), including a hillside facility with an estimated 300-to-500-vehicle capacity that he dubs the most secure depot the show has visited. His 25-minute round of autonomy roulette on the Lyft app yielded zero matches, but the airport walk from the terminal door to the Waymo pickup zone clocked in at a seamless 2 minutes and 20 seconds. In Dallas, which Grayson crowns the robotaxi capital of America, Waymo and Avride continue to scale as hundreds of unbadged Tesla Cybercabs sit in a staging lot near Dallas Love Field. In Houston, at the Uber/Nuro/Lucid depot, Grayson spotted just six robotaxis and zero unsupervised operations. Turning to the Tesla earnings call, the hosts analyze FSD attach rates hitting 75%, renewed plans allowing owners to loan personal vehicles into the fleet, and the slip of the 24/7 service target to year-end. Grayson also connects the dots on why Tesla announced its four expansion cities (Las Vegas, Jacksonville, Phoenix, and San Antonio) in an order directly tracking physical depot construction. Meanwhile, Walt reacts to a Semafor report projecting Waymo could scale to 20,000 vehicles by the end of next year, surpassing his own 15,000-vehicle estimate, as Waymo launches service at Harry Reid International Airport (LAS) and eyes Madrid (2027) and Toronto (2028). Closing out on the Foreign Autonomy Desk, a VW MOIA van was spotted testing in Europe bearing Wayve decals instead of Mobileye, while France signaled renewed regulatory backing for autonomous fleets.

Dermot O’Driscoll, Dermot O'Driscoll, Vice President, Go-To-Market, Physical AI, Arm, joined Grayson Brulte on The Road to Autonomy podcast to discuss scaling physical AI across the automotive and robotics markets. Arm is positioning its energy-efficient compute architecture at every layer of Physical AI, leveraging 30 years of automotive IP safety expertise alongside its mobile power-efficiency heritage. With robotics facing strict battery, weight, and thermal constraints, Arm’s low-power compute stack is essential to enabling extended operational runtimes. To solve ecosystem fragmentation and accelerate physical AI toward its ChatGPT moment, Arm recently launched its Robotics Capability Framework, a Level 0–5 framework inspired by SAE Levels of Driving Automation. The initiative aims to standardize capabilities and foster cross-layer collaboration among chipmaker, software, model, and hardware developers, attracting over 80 industry partners within its first month. Across the autonomous vehicle landscape, Arm architecture powers key chipsets in robotaxis, including ADAS controllers, in-vehicle infotainment (IVI), ECUs, and sensors, while creating new opportunities for immersive in-cabin experiences like 4D gaming. Arm is currently projecting the physical AI compute market to grow from $25 billion today to $200 billion in the early 2030s. This 8x to 10x expansion will be driven by autonomous mobility and AI deployment across physical GDP sectors including agriculture, mining, shipping, and logistics.

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss new field reports from San Antonio and Dallas, management turnover at Uber, Tesla’s Cybercab progress in Austin and upcoming Dallas expansion, regulatory shifts across the US and Europe, and Wayve’s momentum in securing major OEM partnerships. Grayson shares his experience taking a Waymo ride to the San Antonio International Airport (SAT), highlighting the seamless curbside drop-off that took under four minutes to reach security, while contrasting it with his SFO experience. With more field reports on the way, Grayson and Walt discuss key executive departures at Uber and what it might be signaling to the market. In Austin, Tesla reportedly surpassed 300 Cybercabs as they prepare to expand Cybercab to Dallas. Across the pond in London, the politics around deploying robotaxis are heating up as Tesla rebrands FSD in Europe to Assisted Driving.