Saxo Market Call

Geopolitics could continue to dog this market for a long while yet.

Saxo Market Call

Show Notes

Today, a run through the outlook for crude oil with Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen as we face a key week ahead, given Iran's bid for a 7-day negotiation window with the US. More with Ole on natural gas, the El Niño status and impacts and gold. Elsewhere, a run through the macro and rates and the week ahead, together with interesting single stocks stories driving the market action yesterday. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links

Michael Every on the latest Macrovoices podcast, with a bit more granularity and bias on what may happen next than usual on Iran and Ukraine/Russia. John's latest The FX Trader piece with thoughts on USDJPY and much more. FT focus piece on quantum computing and whether there is a path to profit for the technology. FT on UK & German exposure to Chinese economy, but leaving out in the title that the US is way up there with these two economies as well. FTAlphaville with a provocative headline: SpaceX pivots away from space. Whoa. TypeSafe AI has a new and cheaper AI model called Jev that is supposedly more efficient for software development than the tools from Anthropic and OpenAI and is getting massive attention. For the historians: was it iron that triggered the Bronze Age collapse because iron was a weapon of mass decentralization? Super interesting!

Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here. Please reach out to us at [email protected] for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo. Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMERThis content is marketing material.Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

More from Saxo Market Call

Oct 22, 2026

Today, we look at the violent vibe shift in the US equity market, which crumbled overnight after a quite positive session, led by the very high momentum sectors that posted a solid result yesterday. It doesn't feel like this is all coming from negative reactions to earnings results from the likes of Tesla or Lam Research - but what is it? We wonder if it could be geopolitics. Also on today's pod, we delve way back into the financial history of the 1870's depression and its origins and aggravations, whether hedge fund strategies that are blowing up are further aggravating the French debt market instabilities and much more. Today's pod is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links

Oct 21, 2026

Today, a look at yet another day of US equity market divergences, as the major indices and semiconductors posted an indifferent to slightly negative day while most stocks were up solidly on the day. This rhymes with another market from around the years 2000-01. Also, a look at SpaceX and Netflix earnings and the very different reactions. French yields and much more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links

Oct 20, 2026

Today, we look at the markets trying to get back in a positive mood yesterday in the US, but with the broader market and the rest of the world not having any of it as oil prices surged once again and as the situation in France continues to fester. Discomfort with stability of AI "neo-cloud" companies is also weighing. With earnings season hitting full swing this week, we wonder why SpaceX is suddenly set to report earnings today. This and much more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links

Oct 16, 2026

Today, a look at a massive comeback from further steep selling in US equities, establishing a critical line in the sand for the major indices and especially AI-adjacent names from here, effectively a bull-bear line. Elsewhere, Tesla demonstrated its new Roadster, which can both "fly" for an unknown number of seconds and "suck" itself to the road, allowing for beyond vertical adherence to a road surfaces and supposedly insane cornering abilities. Useful. More importantly, a deep-dive on the global oil picture and the troublesome Brent futures contract with Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and so much more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links

Oct 15, 2026

Today, a look at a wild day for US treasuries as a hot US CPI print first pumps US treasury yields, only to see longer-dated yields end the day at the lowest level in weeks. The US dollar followed yields lower and the implication is that treasuries may be a safe haven again as in the days of yore, given that stocks were generally weak for the entire post-CPI episode yesterday. This and much more, including what is spooking this market and where to focus next as earnings season hits full stride next week. Today's pod is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links

See all episodes →