ForeCast

When Will AI Transform the Physical World? (with Tom Davidson and Will MacAskill)

ForeCast

Show Notes

Tom Davidson and Will MacAskill are both researchers at Forethought.

They discuss:

What is the industrial explosion?

Why the case for recursive self-improvement is stronger for physical industry than for software

How fast the physical economy could grow, the case for weekly doubling times, and limits from natural resources

Why authoritarian regimes might have a structural advantage in the industrial explosion

Could a leading country outgrow the entire world to achieve decisive dominance?

Why does the industrial explosion get ~1% of the attention of the intelligence explosion?

You can read a full transcript here.

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