Show Notes
US stocks fall overnight on AI valuation fears, oil jumps with talk of new strikes on Iran, and bond yields fall on safe haven buying. The Philippines hikes rates more than expected. And New Zealand inflation falls, but not enough to stop a rate hike next week.
In our deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Matthew Galt analyses how New Zealand’s house prices are tracking against measures of market fundamentals.
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More from 5 in 5 with ANZ
Global stocks rise on talk of a SpaceX/Tesla merger. Bank Indonesia holds rates. Bank of Korea is set to do the same, but a hike is expected in the Philippines. And New Zealand inflation data due today is set to stay above target.
Australian inflation expectations tick up as confidence ticks down. Bank Indonesia should hold today but faces pressure to hike. And the People’s Bank of China holds rates as it looks to support bank margins.
China’s GDP growth beats forecasts, but a record high trade surplus remains an issue globally for trading partners. ANZ Research raises its US dollar forecast and still sees a Fed hike next week. And New Zealand’s services sector expands — just.
China is expected to report flat GDP growth, with signs of state spending to achieve Beijing’s growth targets for 2026. And New Zealand’s inflation is slightly above forecast, before another rate hike expected next week.
US Producer Price Inflation data is much hotter than expected, but yields fall on flight to quality as AI stocks fall. Pressure comes off the RBA to hike in November as the jobs market softens, although ANZ Research says a hike is still more likely than not.