Excess deaths, scarce data

Aspiration issue reaches main stream media Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

UK, high prevalence maintainedUploaded 18-02-22https://covid.joinzoe.com/post/covid-not-showing-signs-of-droppingEnd of SeptemberBased on 39,742 recent swab tests, between 11th and 25th September 202158,126 new daily symptomatic casesBased on PCR and LFT test dataIn the fully vaccinated population, 14,352 new daily symptomatic casesOverall UK PrevalenceOn average 1 in 93 people in the UK have symptomatic COVIDIncrease mostly in under 19sUptick in the number of active cases in people aged 20-50Cases remain low and stable in contributors over the age of 50UK R around 1.1England, 1.1Wales, 1.1 (currently increasing)Scotland, 1.0ZOE’s predicted Long COVID incidence rate804 people a day will go on to experience symptoms for longer than 12 weeksProfessor Tim SpectorWe’re seeing infections being passed up the generational ladder, likely from school children to their parents. Most of these new adult infections are in the under 50s, who still have a relatively low risk of being admitted to hospital, especially if they’ve been fully vaccinated.As the winter approaches, it’s important parents of school-aged children and students don’t pass the virus on to more vulnerable grandparents by not recognising simple cold-like symptoms as a possible COVID infection. This is a critical time and a little caution could make all the difference in avoiding a winter crisis for hospitals.Zoe Live feedhttps://covid.joinzoe.com/data#levels-over-timeUK official datahttps://coronavirus.data.gov.ukCanadahttps://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/epidemiological-summary-covid-19-cases.htmlUnited StatesDeaths, 705,326 (JH)https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.htmlCases and deathshttps://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailycasesHospital patientshttps://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#hospitalizationsVaccination trendshttps://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccination-trends_vacctrends-total-dailyThe White Househttps://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2021/10/06/covid-delta-variant-live-updates/$1 billion for rapid, at-home coronavirus testsQuadruple such tests by DecemberUp to 200 million per monthVaccines probably prevented, in Medicare beneficiaries in the first five months of this yearhttps://aspe.hhs.gov/sites/default/files/documents/8d15a6223df12fcb59de1f031adb1eec/aspe-covid-medicare-vaccine-analysis.pdf265,000 infections107,000 hospitalizations39,000 deathsThree Moderna founders make Forbes list of America’s richest during pandemic$2.48 billion in R and D and supply funding from the U.S. governmenthttps://www.fiercepharma.com/pharma/after-nearly-1b-research-funding-moderna-takes-1-5b-coronavirus-vaccine-order-from-u-shttps://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2021/10/06/covid-delta-variant-live-updates/A list of the top 400 richest people in AmericaTop 400, 40% richer than last yearJohnson and Johnson and AstraZeneca, no profits during the pandemicAustraliahttps://www.health.gov.au/news/health-alerts/novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov-health-alert/coronavirus-covid-19-case-numbers-and-statisticsPolandFourth wave is gathering paceCases up 70% in the past weekHealth service stretched to its limits last springWaldemar Kraska, a deputy health ministerToday's data is a very fast flashing red lightRussia soars daily deaths increasinghttps://news.sky.com/story/covid-news-uk-latest-live-experts-discover-why-people-get-covid-toes-as-wales-introduces-vaccine-passports-12425651The Kremlin confirmed, Cases, + 25,133Deaths, + 929 = 208,842 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Monkeypox, upgraded to a notifiable diseaseUploaded 16-06-22Doctors required to notify health authorities of every caseLabs must tell the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA)https://reference.medscape.com/slideshow/monkeypox-6015388?src=mkm_ret_220616_mscpmrk_exclusiveuk_int&uac=127834AR&impID=4337730&faf=1#8Same legal status as 33 other diseaseshttps://www.gov.uk/guidance/notifiable-diseases-and-causative-organisms-how-to-reportAcute encephalitisAcute infectious hepatitisAcute meningitisAcute poliomyelitisAnthraxBotulismBrucellosisCholeraCOVID-19DiphtheriaEnteric fever (typhoid or paratyphoid fever)Food poisoningHaemolytic uraemic syndrome (HUS)Infectious bloody diarrhoeaInvasive group A streptococcal diseaseLegionnaires’ diseaseLeprosyMalariaMeaslesMeningococcal septicaemiaMonkeypoxMumpsPlagueRabiesRubellaSevere Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)Scarlet feverSmallpoxTetanusTuberculosisTyphusViral haemorrhagic fever (VHF)Whooping coughYellow fever40 countriesUKhttps://www.gov.uk/government/news/monkeypox-cases-confirmed-in-england-latest-updatesCases, 524Anyone can get monkeypox, particularly if you have had close contact, including sexual contact, with an individual with symptoms. Contact followed by rash with blistersSudden and unexpected number of cases, previous silent spreadCurrently most cases have been in men who are gay, bisexual or have sex with men.How common is lesbian, gay or bisexual (LGB) https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/culturalidentity/sexuality/bulletins/sexualidentityuk/2019UK population aged 16 years and2.7% of the UK population aged 16 years and over identified as lesbian, gay or bisexual (LGB) in 2019(2.2% in 2018)Between 2018 and 2019Men identifying as GB increased from 2.5% to 2.9%Women identifying as LB increased from 2.0% to 2.5%Monkeypox is being transmitted in geographically diffuse sexual networks. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/monkeypox-outbreak-technical-briefingsNearly all (98%) of interviewed cases reported sex with other men during the incubation period (5 to 21 days)First technical briefinghttps://www.gov.uk/government/publications/monkeypox-outbreak-technical-briefings/investigation-into-monkeypox-outbreak-in-england-technical-briefing-1Level 1Incursions from rest of the world – small numbers of imported cases with limited onward transmission.Level 2Transmission within a defined sub-population with high number of close contacts.Level 3Transmission within multiple sub-populations or larger sub-population.Level 4Wider significant community transmission – with potential for endemic and local epi-zoonotic disease.Detailed case interviews, traditional contact tracing is currently challenging,identify transmission networksSerial interval, 9.8 days (95% credible interval, 5.9 to 21.4)(Interval between clinical onsets)The mutations specific to the current global outbreak clade are distributed across the genome. There is a small subset of mutations in proteins that are involved in virus transmission, virulence, or interaction with antiviral drugs. UKHSA has convened an expert group of public health, NHS and academic partners to steer a comprehensive investigation.Prof David Heymann, infectious diseaseUK decision, concern transmission is occurring outside most at-risk groupsSo far, gay, bisexual menLatest outbreak driven by sexual networksIt suggests that they want to focus surveillance on the entire population – not only on the risk groups identified so farProf Francois Balloux, University College London Genetics InstituteMore infections than cases This is particularly the case for a disease which can often be mild with fairly unspecific symptoms such as monkeypox. It is difficult to work out at the moment whether cases are going up, down or Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Link for free download of my 2 textbooks in high res PDFUploaded 14-06-22http://159.69.48.3/COVID-19 Vaccine Recommendations for Children and Teenshttps://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/vaccines-children-teens.htmlWhat You Need to KnowCDC recommends everyone ages 5 years and older get vaccinated against COVID-19.Everyone ages 5 years and older should also get a COVID-19 booster, when eligible.Booster, at least 5 months after primary courseThe Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI)advise that all children aged 5 to 11 are offered the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine.https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/coronavirus-vaccination/coronavirus-covid-19-vaccination-for-children/coronavirus-covid-19-vaccine-for-children-aged-5-to-15/https://www.nhsinform.scot/covid-19-vaccine/the-vaccines/vaccinating-children-aged-5-to-11-yearshttps://www.gov.uk/government/publications/jcvi-update-on-advice-for-covid-19-vaccination-of-children-aged-5-to-11/jcvi-statement-on-vaccination-of-children-aged-5-to-11-years-oldUK, 5 million age 5 to 11Children aged 5 to 11 years will be offered 2 doses of the coronavirus vaccine.JCVI advises a non-urgent offer of two 10 mcg doses of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine (Comirnaty®) to children aged 5 to 11 years of age who are not in a clinical risk group.What about natural immunitySeroprevalence of Infection-Induced SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies — United States, September 2021–February 2022https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7117e3.htm?s_cid=mm7117e3_e&ACSTrackingID=USCDC_921-DM80513&ACSTrackingLabel=MMWR%20Early%20Release%20-%20Vol.%2071%2C%20April%2026%2C%202022&deliveryName=USCDC_921-DM80513anti-N antibodiesAs of February 2022, approximately 75% of children and adolescents had serologic evidence of previous infection with SARS-CoV-2, with approximately one third becoming newly seropositive since December 2021.These findings illustrate a high infection rate for the Omicron variant, especially among childrenhttps://www.pfizer.com/news/press-release/press-release-detail/pfizer-biontech-covid-19-vaccine-demonstrates-strong-immuneUK, percentage of the population estimated to have antibodies was high for children in Great Britainhttps://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19latestinsights/antibodiesAntibodies against SARS-CoV-2 at or above 179 nanograms per millilitre (ng/ml), UK, 29 November 2021 to 15 May 2022Testing negative means that an individual did not have enough antibodies to be detected in the test, not that they do not have any immune protection against the virus.Pfizer booster dose, the evidencehttps://www.pfizer.com/news/press-release/press-release-detail/pfizer-and-biontech-announce-data-demonstrating-high-immuneThursday, April 14, 2022Data from a subanalysis of 30 seraclinical trial of children 5 through 11 years36-fold increase in SARS-CoV-2 Omicron neutralizing titers following a booster (third) dosePhase 2/3 clinical trial with 140 childrena booster (third) dose increased neutralizing antibodies by 6-fold against the SARS-CoV-2 wild-type strainCost of Pfizer vaccine for 5 to 11 year oldshttps://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/analysis/covid-19-vaccine-pricing-varies-country-company/EU, $23.15 per doseUS, $24UK, x 5,000,000 = $115,750,000Per primary course, = $231,500,000With third dose, $347,250,000£289,000,000US, x 24,000,000 = $576,000,000Per primary course, $1,152,000,000With third dose, $1,728,000,000Why America Doesn't Trust the CDChttps://www.newsweek.com/why-america-doesnt-trust-cdc-opinion-1713145MARTY MAKARY , PROFESSOR, JOHNS HOPKINS SCHOOL OF MEDICINE Centers for Disease Control (CDC) vigorously recommended the booster for all 5 - 11Pfizer spokesperson, it did not determin Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Covid symptoms continue to evolve, sore throat now most common.Uploaded 01-08-22US, proportions of circulating variantshttps://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportionsBA.5 81.9% (78.7%)BA.4 12.9% (17.2%)BA2. 12.1 5% (3.4%)BA.2 0.3% BA.1 0%BA. 2.75 (24 UK cases)UK, Technical briefing datahttps://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1093275/covid-technical-briefing-44-22-july-2022.pdfZoe datahttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=05_idwi66jMR = 0.9About one in 17 currently infectedDeclining in all areas of UKMost infections are newBA.5 is infecting recent BA.2 infectionsSymptomsUK, increase in urinary frequencyList of covid symptomsSore throat, 59%Headache, 49%Cough, no phlegm 43%Blocked nose, 42%Runny nose, 40%Cough with phlegm, 39%Hoarse, 39%Sneezing, 32%Fatigue, 30%Muscle pains 24%Dizzy, 19%Swollen neck glands, 15%Altered smell, 15%Sore eyes, 14%Chest pain / tightness, 13%Fever, 13%Loss of smell, 12%Shortness of breath, 11%Earache, 11%Chills or shivers, 10%Health study dataSymptomatic cases, 176,147Current symptomatic prevalence, 3, 480, 836https://health-study.joinzoe.com/dataUK, latest datahttps://coronavirus.data.gov.ukUK, ONShttps://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19/latestinsightsDecrease from 20th July4.83% in England (1 in 20 people)5.14% in Wales (1 in 19 people) 6.18% in Northern Ireland (1 in 16 people) 5.17% in Scotland (1 in 19 people)Antibody levelsThe presence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 suggests that a person has previously been infected with COVID-19 or vaccinated.179ng/ml level 800ng/ml theshold US datahttps://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailydeathsUS hospital dataCurrent 7 day average, 6,186 admissionsDown 2.7% on the week Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices