Show Notes
Scary headlines sound like a sell signal, but I walk through the “second half” of each story and why it can point to opportunity instead of panic. I connect oil, housing, Fed policy, investor fear, and money supply to one simple question: which way is the money moving? • high oil prices as a potential tailwind for US producers and energy supply chains • why the biggest winner from expensive oil can be America • using quality signals like revenue, profit, and cash flow instead of ...
More from Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast
A $1.2 trillion Nasdaq plunge looks like a crash, but we break down why it is a targeted AI trade sell-off with money rotating into defensive sectors. We also explain what hedge funds are doing, why junk-rated AI project debt matters, and how to think about protecting your portfolio when the S&P 500 starts moving with a handful of AI names. • the real meaning of AI derating and why valuations reset • Tesla CapEx cuts, Meta credit risk signals, and weak guidance as catalysts&nb...
Gold drops more than 3% in a day, yet central banks and top Wall Street research desks keep leaning into gold. We break down the short-term forces hitting the price, the long-term reasons demand is surging, and the practical ways to own gold without getting trapped by fees or bad storage. • central banks buying gold at roughly five times the old monthly pace • how Goldman Sachs estimates hidden buying with real-time trade data • why Bank of America frames the trade as long gold a...
A currency reset can quietly rewrite the value of your savings while you are still playing by the old rules. We lay out a calm plan built around what holds value outside fragile promises, plus the simple tests we use to spot businesses that can survive inflation and tightening money. • Defining a currency reset in plain terms and why it can feel quieter than a crash • Explaining how savings and pensions become claims inside the system that can be written down • Showing why ...
We break down why CoreWeave, a little-known AI “NeoCloud” lender-dependent business, may be the first crack in the AI plumbing that index funds rely on. We connect insider selling, distressed debt pricing, and credit default swap signals to a bigger question: whether AI is facing a borrowed-money reset similar to the dot-com era. • CoreWeave’s business model of buying NVIDIA chips and renting AI compute by the hour • Founder share sales and why Form 4 insider filings matter for ordinary...
AI lending has become a case study in how Wall Street's fee machine operates. In this episode, Felix Nikolas Prehn, a former investment banker, traces the mechanics of a five billion dollar loan arranged by Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan for AI chip company Volta Infrastructure. The banks collected fees but declined to hold most of the loan, placing 3.7 billion dollars on a best efforts basis for sale to pension funds and insurers. The loan carries an 11 per cent interest rate, well above the ju...