Cut Through

Can One Nation clean up in Victoria? Antony Green gives his verdict

Cut Through

Show Notes

With Victorians going to the ballot box in just a few weeks, the story of this state election is already being written. One Nation, the Coalition and Labor are neck and neck in some polls, so is a change of government inevitable?

This week on Cut Through, Antony Green, ABC election legend and Crikey contributor joins our politics editor Bernard Keane and Rachel Withers to talk about the most significant state election in decades, the key seats to watch – and what One Nation’s chances really are of scooping up major party losses.

Plus, are predictions of a Labor wipe-out unfounded?

Today’s episode covers: How significant is the Victorian state election? Ones to watch: the biggest contests on November 28 Problems One Nation will face at the ballot box Jess Wilson’s chances of scooping up key seats Lessons from South Australia Why independents will struggle this time round Will Labor’s red wall in Melbourne’s west fall to One Nation? The Greens chances of going double-digits

Read the transcript here, watch or listen to the episode above.

READ MORE: Could the Greens flip these ‘sleeper’ seats in Victoria? Where the teals at? Independents face a tough battle in Victoria — but don’t count them out Can this new party win seats off Labor in Melbourne’s neglected western suburbs?

Want to ask us a question? Send an email to [email protected] or contact us using the secure methods detailed here: https://www.crikey.com.au/tip-off-crikey/ Subscribe to Crikey now to get 60% off your annual subscription! https://campaigns.crikey.com.au/subscribe Want to ask us a question? Send an email to [email protected] or contact us using the secure methods detailed here. Subscribe to Crikey now to get 60% off your annual subscription! Sign up to Crikey’s free newsletter: https://bit.ly/crikey-newsletter

Crikey’s independent journalism is supported by readers — 98% of our revenue comes from our subscribers. We’re not accountable to billionaires; we’re accountable to you. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

More from Cut Through

Oct 21, 2026

With the fragmentation and loss of belief in the Liberal Party, the future of liberalism itself these days doesn’t look bright. But what would a “post-liberal” world look like?

Oct 15, 2026

Parliament is back in session, and there’s a new Greens leader on the scene to cause trouble for Anthony Albanese. Crikey’s politics reporter Anton Nilsson and journalist Tina Quinn discuss how Labor’s agenda is holding up against attacks from all sides.

Oct 8, 2026

In a special Q&A episode of Cut Through, Rachel puts your questions to long-time Crikey contributors, climate analyst Ketan Joshi and Dr Ben Eltham, about the unfortunate topic de jour: the rapid proliferation of data centres. What are they? Do we actually need them? And what is the benefit — if any — of having them operate on Australian soil?

Oct 2, 2026

It’s been a busy month for our tips hog, Cochon Truffier. The intrepid pig snooped out some internal discussions between NACC staffers which probably should have been had at the pub, investigated the backlash to Mia Freedman’s comments about the Ed Sheeran/Macklemore saga, and dug into why student politicians at Sydney Uni were getting their knickers in a knot over allegations involving horse meat and bribery in Kazakhstan.

Sep 16, 2026

Paul Keating was prime minister of a very different Australia, in a very different geopolitical environment from that of today. How does his ambition for Australia hold up 30 years later? Crikey politics editor Bernard Keane and Professor James Curran from the University of Sydney discuss Keating’s legacy, and whether his approach to foreign policy suffered from the curse of being “right, but too early”.

See all episodes →