
Summary
Pennsylvania is facing significant political challenges as national progressive billionaires target the state, which is considered a crucial swing state in upcoming elections. Matt Briette, in his book "You Gotta Win Pennsylvania," argues that the entrepreneurial spirit that founded America is essential for its future. He emphasizes that Pennsylvania is pivotal in the fight for the nation’s direction and calls on entrepreneurs to take action to secure its future.
In Israel, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's political bloc is slightly ahead in recent elections but lacks the majority needed to form a government. As of now, most votes have been counted, revealing a divided electorate similar to that in the United States. High voter turnout, exceeding 75%, indicates strong public engagement, but the possibility of another election looms if coalition talks fail.
In the U.S., concerns arise regarding former President Donald Trump's willingness to accept election results, particularly if he loses. Polls indicate a significant portion of Americans doubt he would concede in such a scenario. The discussion also touches on the integrity of elections, with both parties expressing fears of potential challenges to results based on close margins.
As the midterm elections approach, the political landscape remains volatile, with various races showing tight margins and differing predictions from polls and betting markets. The conversation highlights the complexities of interpreting polling data and the implications for candidates across the political spectrum.
Show Notes
Andrew Walworth, Tom Bevan and Carl Cannon discuss the results of the Israeli elections and what it means for US/Israeli relations. They also talk about President Donald Trump’s remarks yesterday that he would accept the midterm results “only if they’re honest elections”. Then, Democratic campaign strategist Dane Strother joins the guys to discuss the race for the Senate in Texas, where both President Trump and Democratic candidate James Talarico appeared yesterday at rallies in the city of Lubbock. And, they also take a look at how AI is being widely used in campaign ads this cycle. Then lastly, they discuss the accuracy of the polls in the midterms, and they look at why prediction markets and polls often differ, as they do in forecasting who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
More from RealClearPolitics Podcast
Andrew Walworth, Tom Bevan, Carl Cannon and RCP Senior Elections Analyst Sean Trende discuss the state of the midterms one week before election day and the potential effect of midcycle redistricting. They also look at the prospects for passage of a Maryland ballot measure that would allow politicians to redraw congressional districts, and what it would mean for Governor Wes Moore’s (D-MD) national profile. Then, they discuss a new PAC attack ad aimed at Republican candidate Mike Rogers in the Senate primary race in Michigan that some say is antisemitic. And, they talk about Ohio Democratic gubernatorial candidate Amy Action responding to an ad by Vivek Ramaswamy that featured her estranged mother calling her a liar. Then finally, they discuss President Donald Trump’s recent Truth Social post attacking comedian Bill Mahrer following a White House dinner, and they talk about President Barack Obama coming under fire for remarks about the décor at The Cheesecake Factory. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Andrew Walworth, Tom Bevan, Carl Cannon and RCP contributor and author of A Declaration of Independents Greg Orman discuss the Justice Department's suit to block the certification of Alaska’s Senate results if GOP candidate Dan Sullivan loses due to voter confusion over a second candidate with the same name appearing on the ballot. Then the team talks to RCP columnist and author of Explaining Israel: The Jewish State: The Middle East and America Peter Berkowitz discuss what is at stake in tomorrow’s national elections in Israel and the future of US/Israeli relations. Also, a look at a just released Gallup poll on how Republicans, Democrats and Independents rank key American values, including patriotism, equality and freedom.
Andrew Walworth, Tom Bevan, Carl Cannon and RCP White House correspondent Carolina Lumetta discuss Vice President JD Vance’s campaign swing this week to Ohio and Nebraska. Also, Vance and President Donald Trump endorse a campaign ad produced by the Vivek Ramaswamy campaign in Ohio that features his opponent Amy Acton’s biological mother calling her daughter a liar, while outgoing governor Mike DeWine (R-OH) condemns the ad as “deeply, deeply troubling," but still endorses Ramaswamy for governor. Then, they discuss a Wall Street Journal article that asks whether Americans are "still afraid of socialism". Plus, they talk about, DSA member New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani campaigns for New York governor Kathy Hochul as they jointly appear in an ad touting “free” childcare for New York City residents, and President Trump announces a $25 million fund to reward Americans who report government fraud and abuse. Then, they discuss the start of the World Series and the role of money in baseball and politics. And finally, the guys give up their “You Cannot Be Serious” stories for the week. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Andrew Walworth, Tom Bevan, Carl Cannon and RCP Senior Elections Analyst Sean Trende discuss last night’s Senate debates in Michigan and Kansas. Then, they talk about new polling by RCP of ten critical House races and what the data suggests about control of he House after the midterms. And, they take a look at new poll numbers on the Texas Senate race, and whether midterm polls are under-sampling Republican voters. Next, they discuss this morning’s announcement that Louise Lucas, the Virginia state senator who played a central role in the state's redistricting effort last year, was taken into federal custody, charged with bribery and racketeering related to marijuana. She has denied the charges. And finally, they look at AIPAC’s decision to cease making candidate endorsements and campaign contributions from its political action committee, while continuing to operate its superPAC. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Andrew Walworth, Tom Bevan, Carl Cannon and RCP Senior Elections Analyst Sean Trende discuss fake polling data released by an outfit called Wedgewood Polls, which called their actions ““an experimental project to demonstrate the vulnerabilities, lack of oversight and overall low barrier to entry in the modern political polling industry”. They also take a look at a new campaign ad produced by the Vivek Ramaswamy campaign in Ohio, that features his opponent Amy Acton’s biological mother calling her daughter a liar. Next, James Robbins, Dean of Academics at the Institute of World Politics in Washington DC, joins them to discuss the latest news on the Ukraine War, including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s statement this morning that he would accept a ceasefire based on the current battlefront if provided sufficient security guarantees by the West. Then, they discuss United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby who called for a national wealth tax and a nearly 100% inheritance tax in an interview with The New York Times. And finally, they discuss a new article in Wired magazine which profiles Americans who left the country for Europe after President Donald Trump’s inauguration and have come to regret the decision. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.