Rational Dissent

Episode 011. Three Risks That Matter More Than Terminator AI

Rational Dissent

Show Notes

Looking past the sensational headlines, we analyze the measurable risks truly driving markets—from Europe's winter energy vulnerabilities and cracks in distressed corporate credit to the Fed funding pressures behind the Treasury basis trade.

Chapters 00:00 - Introduction & Risks 01:46 - Energy Market Breakdown 04:07 - Europe Natural Gas Watch 07:24 - AI Debt and Credit Spreads 09:55 - Oracle and CCC Stress 12:31 - Basis Trade Explained 15:36 - Funding Market Triggers 21:50 - Crowded Trade and Transparency 26:36 - Energy and Global Fallout 31:20 - One Number to Watch 35:36 - Final Takeaways and Signoff

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