Show Notes
Roughly six vessels moved through the Strait of Hormuz in a day, down from 130 to 140 before the war, and Art Berman says Persian Gulf oil production is down about 10 million barrels a day. His case: this is a bigger supply shock than COVID, and markets are barely pricing it. Geologist and energy consultant Art Berman returns to Wealthion with Maggie Lake to explain why the oil market looks calm on the surface while the plumbing underneath has changed dramatically. He argues the ceasefire optimism is misplaced, that markets are not wrong so much as focused on the wrong part of the system, and that the real story sits in upstream production, not tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
What Berman covers: - Why Hormuz flows may not return to even half of pre-war levels before the middle of 2027 - Why markets are not getting it wrong, and what the shift in the futures curve is really signaling - How the oil market always clears, and why demand reduction is the ultimate default - Upstream, midstream and downstream: the distinction most headlines miss - The figure almost no one is discussing: Persian Gulf production down around 10 million barrels a day - Why, by one measure, this is a larger supply shock than COVID
Chapters: 00:00 Art Berman: The Energy Order Is Breaking 00:54 Strait of Hormuz Crisis: Why Conditions Are Getting Worse 03:57 Oil Markets, Iran and the Risk Investors Are Pricing 10:05 Why Demand Destruction Becomes the Ultimate Solution 13:18 10 Million Barrels a Day of Oil Production Shut In 16:24 Oil Stocks vs. Flows: What Investors Are Missing 22:09 Hormuz, Panama Canal & the New Geopolitics of Choke Points 27:18 Why a Middle East Deal Won’t Quickly Restore Oil Flows 30:21 Why Shut-In Oil Production May Never Fully Recover 34:08 Art Berman Warns of an Unprecedented Energy System Shock 38:16 The Post-WWII Energy Order Is Unraveling 43:17 Oil Prices, Market Risk & How Price Discovery Really Works
💡 From the Strait of Hormuz and millions of barrels of shut-in production to the unraveling of the postwar energy order, Art Berman explains why this is far more than a temporary oil shock — and why the global energy system may never return to what it was before. Join the Wealthion community for more conversations on the forces shaping markets and how to protect and grow your wealth: https://bit.ly/4woj119
💡 Want to hear more from Art Berman? Explore his latest research, analysis, and insights on energy markets, oil, geopolitics, and the forces reshaping the global energy system at ArtBerman.com: https://www.artberman.com/contact/
Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/
#ArtBerman #OilPrices #EnergyMarkets #StraitOfHormuz #Iran #MiddleEast #OilMarket #EnergyCrisis #Geopolitics #CrudeOil #OilSupply #EnergySecurity #GlobalMarkets #Investing #MarketOutlook ________________________________________________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests and our hosts do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion or the views of their respective employers. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields.
While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests and hosts, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion or their respective employers. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor.
We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your fina
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