Summary
Texas has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1988, but this election cycle could mark a significant shift as James Tallarico, a progressive candidate, leads in polls against Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton. Paxton faces challenges including rising gas prices and serious allegations of corruption, which have prompted his campaign to attack Tallarico's masculinity and values. Supporters at a recent Paxton rally expressed skepticism about Tallarico's suitability for Texas, labeling him as weak and unmanly, while also questioning his Christian beliefs.
The election is further complicated by Paxton's own controversies, including his impeachment by fellow Republicans and personal scandals that have alienated some voters. Despite this, Paxton's campaign is focusing on portraying Tallarico as a radical who threatens traditional Texas values, particularly around issues of gender and sexuality. Many voters, particularly independents, are reportedly more concerned about economic issues and corruption than social policies, which could impact voter turnout and preferences.
As the election approaches, both candidates are navigating a complex landscape of voter sentiment. While Tallarico attempts to connect with voters through his faith and progressive stance, Paxton relies on fear-based messaging to galvanize his base. The outcome may hinge on which candidate can better resonate with the electorate's primary concerns, whether they be economic stability or social values.
Show Notes
Texas hasn't elected a Democrat for Senate since 1988. James Talarico has a shot, but Republicans have launched a full culture war to try to prevent it.
This episode was produced by Peter Balonon-Rosen, edited by Jolie Myers, fact-checked by Gabriel Dunatov, engineered by Bridger Dunnagan, and hosted by Noel King.
Democratic US Senate candidate James Talarico speaks at a campaign rally during his "Clear Eyes, Full Hearts Tour" at the Galveston Railroad Museum in Galveston, Texas, on October 22, 2026. Photo by Mark Felix / AFP via Getty Images.
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