Show Notes
🔗 Tom Merkle (Hashbranch): Website: https://hashbranch.comLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thomasmerkle/
In this episode of HashrateUp, Jesse sits down with Tom Merkle from Hashbranch to discuss survival strategies as Bitcoin mining enters unprecedented territory with hash price dropping below $30.
What's covered in this episode: Jesse and Tom break down the current market conditions: Bitcoin at $64k, hash price at $29, and a -13% difficulty adjustment on the horizon. They analyze what's driving this downturn, compare it to historical crashes like the China mining ban, and discuss why the fundamentals of mining economics haven't changed despite the volatility. Tom explains why efficient machines, low acquisition costs, and the right hosting partner are the only factors that matter right now.
Practical strategies for miners: Tom walks through Hashbranch's redeployment process for unprofitable hardware, from quality checkpoints to finding the right hosting contracts. The conversation covers profit-split structures that provide downside protection in volatile markets, hydro cooling as a path to 6+ year ASIC lifespans, and the critical differences between Type 1 and Type 2 facilities. They also explore the AI compute narrative, why mining won't simply disappear to GPU infrastructure, and how to think about your mining investment in Bitcoin terms rather than dollar terms.
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More from HashrateUp - A Bitcoin Mining Podcast
HashrateUp Hydro Hosting is live: enterprise-grade, hydro-cooled hosting in Texas, now open to small miners starting at just one machine. 👉 Get started: https://hashrateup.com
Public Bitcoin miners shed about 75 EH/s in the first half of 2026, roughly $1.5 billion worth of mining hardware, as their power moves to AI. In this NEWS episode, Jesse breaks down who is leaving, where the hashrate is going and what it means for the miners who stay.
Cheap power means nothing if the government turns against you. Giannis Andreou, CEO of Bitmern Mining, started hosting Bitcoin miners in the UAE on agricultural power below 6¢/kWh, was forced out when the government banned that power, moved to Ethiopia, and is now watching the same story repeat as the Ethiopian government takes over mining and large operators pack up and leave.
Texas is ending 4CP. The incentive that saved flexible miners roughly $50,000 per MW per year is likely in its final season, and ERCOT is moving toward 12CP by 2028. Haley Thomson, Director of Energy at Luxor, explains what that means for Bitcoin miners and who ends up paying for the grid.Haley breaks down how 4CP actually works, why firm loads are pushing for change, and how 18+ GW of new battery storage has compressed capacity prices across ERCOT. We also cover why Bitcoin mining is close to the perfect grid-balancing load, how batteries and miners compare as grid assets, and how Luxor performed what's likely the first 4CP curtailment of GPUs in ERCOT.We also walk through the Luxor Energy dashboard live, from tracking load against breakeven to iMiner underclocking, 4CP buffer settings and what it really costs to be online during a peak. At the time of recording, 4CP season 2026 was likely already over.This episode is not sponsored by Luxor. Nothing discussed is financial advice. Do your own diligence before making energy or mining decisions.Guest: Haley Thomson, Director of Energy at Luxor TechnologyLuxor Energy: https://luxor.tech/energyHaley on Hashrate Index: https://hashrateindex.com/blog/author/haley/Luxor: https://luxor.techTimestamps:0:00 Intro0:45 Can AI provide grid flexibility?1:31 The first GPU 4CP curtailment in ERCOT3:45 What 4CP is worth: ~$50K per MW per year6:02 How 4CP works and who pays for the grid8:54 Why Bitcoin mining is the perfect flexible load11:45 Adding 60 GW of renewables: the transmission bottleneck14:00 Why firm loads want 4CP gone16:43 How miners lower off-peak energy prices20:57 Renewables, congestion and transmission costs24:54 12CP explained: what changes for miners29:29 Curtailing at $0 power: the solar mismatch31:04 How 18 GW of batteries reshaped ERCOT36:22 Battery vs Bitcoin mine39:10 Capex: batteries vs hydro vs air-cooled mining41:49 Luxor Energy dashboard walkthrough43:54 iMiner: raising breakeven from $75 to $90/MWh45:28 4CP buffer settings and risk48:58 What missing a 4CP peak really costs51:54 The AI pivot and tier-zero data centers55:11 Where to find Haley and Luxor EnergySponsored by:Altair Technology. ASIC hardware, replacement parts and mining infrastructureCode: HASHRATEUPhttps://altairtech.io/aff/125/HashrateUp Hardware Deals: https://t.me/hashrateupFree 5-Day Bitcoin Mining Course: https://hashrateup.com/newsletter-sign-up/#BitcoinMining #ERCOT #4CP #LuxorEnergy #HashrateUp
Matteo Spinosa, founder and CEO of Doefin, built the first accessible prediction market for Bitcoin miners to hedge difficulty. Doefin lets miners and traders take a directional view on network hashrate — or lock in revenue certainty before difficulty spikes — using a Polymarket-style venue where price equals probability.