Show Notes
Tuesday, September 22: Nate Silver just called the political forecasting industry asleep at the wheel — and Rush Lindell and Reagan put his brand-new FLIPR model on trial to see if he's right.
This episode breaks down whether Silver's Senate and House projections actually hold up against the old guard, or if it's just a louder spreadsheet. Topics covered include the FLIPR model's Senate numbers versus prediction markets and Cook Political Report's toss-up list; the historical midterm precedent Silver leans on to argue for a Democratic wave; a head-to-head of three competing House forecasts and why they diverge so sharply; and the pivotal Cook downgrade on New Hampshire that undercuts Silver's
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More from The Rush Lindell Show
Thursday, October 22: The Fed is poised to sit on its hands days before the midterms, and every economist in the Reuters poll expects a December hike anyway.
On Tuesday, October 20, the ballots are in, and Rush Lindell and Reagan fight over whether early voting is a warning for Republicans or just people voting early.
Thursday, October 15: Inflation just hit 3.7 percent, and the fight is over whether to blame Trump's war or Warsh's Fed.
On Tuesday, October 13, the House map is the story: is Cook Political Report spotting a real Democratic wave, or are the pundits just stampeding together?
On Thursday, October 8, Rush Lindell and Reagan tackle the question rattling Washington: do more than 700,000 early ballots across 30 states signal real trouble for Republicans, or just a skewed sample?