Show Notes
Weeks after signing a sweeping sanctions law against Russia’s energy revenues, Donald Trump has struck a deal to buy Russian diesel, announced while his envoys sat down with Ukrainian officials to discuss ending the war. Trump calls it a win. In Moscow, it looks like something else entirely.
In this conversation, I’m joined by Tina Fordham, geostrategist, founder of Fordham Global Foresight, and Wall Street’s original chief global political analyst during seventeen years at Citi, who previously built Eurasia Group’s financial markets research business. We examine why Trump keeps offering deals that Putin never takes, why Putin puts power ahead of any commercial offer, and why the man many in the West mistook for a pragmatist is driven by ideology and legacy. We also look at how the Iran war, launched to project American strength, has left Washington weaker and Trump facing the midterms with soaring prices.
We also discuss Putin’s Valdai remarks and nuclear sabre-rattling over Kaliningrad, what happens to Russia after Putin, why China is quietly waiting for Russian decline, why markets keep shrugging off geopolitical shocks, her research showing geopolitical risk has tripled since 2010, and why the world feels worse than ever when by most measures it isn’t. Tina’s latest book is Mad World: A Geostrategy Survival Guide for Leaders: https://link.amazon/B0h8xEhws Subscribe to Substack Read as well as listen as l overthink for you: https://substack.com/@pyotrskurzin
Follow The Show X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PKurzin YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC7-TPqKMViddKZeo4K2P2jg/
Support The Show Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/theglobalgambit Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/theglobalgambit
Leave a quick rating—it's free, easy, and honestly, the least you can do after I've blessed your ears with such wisdom. Where would you be without me? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
More from The Global Gambit
Ukraine has transformed Russia’s vast geography from a source of strategic depth into a growing vulnerability. Its long-range drones are striking oil refineries, supply lines and military infrastructure, while Crimea is becoming increasingly difficult for Moscow to defend and sustain.
Russia’s war in Ukraine has done more than redraw Europe’s security map. It has exposed the limits of military alliances—and triggered a potentially dangerous chain reaction far beyond the battlefield.
General Ben Hodges says Russia is already at war with Europe. Not with missiles striking NATO cities, but through drones, sabotage and attacks designed to frighten populations and weaken support for Ukraine. So why are European governments still reluctant to impose meaningful consequences?
Iran has been militarily devastated — and yet, six months on, it may be winning. General David Petraeus argues that Tehran's control of the Strait of Hormuz has become a "weapon of mass disruption" more powerful than the nuclear program the war was meant to destroy.