EP 11 | APAC Capital Glut, Lowell’s Liability Reset, and Hong Kong Real Estate Risk

In this episode of Credit Lens: Europe & Beyond, Phoebe Appenteng and Katie McMahon begin with a wide-angle look at regional credit conditions (00:54), before welcoming Chaim Estulin, Head of APAC Editorial at Octus (01:30). The discussion opens with the core imbalance shaping Asian markets today: too much capital chasing too few compelling opportunities (01:42). Despite global volatility, spreads remain tight, particularly in high yield and private credit. The conversation then turns to China’s property sector (04:03), where repeated restructurings continue without a true underlying market stabilization. From there, the focus shifts to Hong Kong (06:19), where commercial real estate leverage is becoming increasingly difficult to manage, and to India (07:35), where private credit growth remains strong but returns are compressing as local funds dominate deal flow. Indonesia follows (10:03), with political shifts raising questions about foreign capital appetite and dollar issuance. Before closing the APAC segment, the team explores two broader forces: U.S. rate policy and its ripple effects (12:36), and the potential financing wave tied to data centers and GPU infrastructure across Southeast Asia. The episode then pivots to Europe (15:18), where Lowell has taken another step in its capital structure reset. With layered securitization, £2.5 billion in total debt exposure, and a new £200 million facility tied to lock-ups and restructuring milestones, the case highlights the increasing complexity of modern liability management exercises and the lender politics that will shape its outcome. Finally, in Afternoon Tea (22:21), the hosts cover the EU’s new AI regulatory framework, advances in MRI-guided tumor treatment in Australia, infrastructure innovation in Peru, a public health milestone in Fiji, and the debate surrounding longevity drugs for pets. The episode closes with reflections on the year ahead (27:12).