
Show Notes
The odds of an August rate hike just collapsed from 21% to 3% in a single week. In this mini episode, Michael breaks down the inflation print that quietly changed the whole conversation around interest rates, and what it actually means for your repayments. 🔔 Subscribe and leave a comment with your questions, we build episodes around what YOU want to know.
General advice only and not personal advice. CRN 485467
--------------------------------- In this episode: Why this week's inflation print matters more than the headline number suggests The RBA's actual inflation target and why we're still not inside it What the trimmed mean measure is and why the RBA watches it closely The confusing mix of strong jobs data and slowing economic growth Why services inflation and new build costs are still running hot The real reason housing inflation just accelerated to 6.8% How rate policy and housing supply are working against each other What another rate move actually costs you on a $600k mortgage Why the fuel excise ending in August could reverse this progress
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Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/@ThatBackyardPropertyPodcast Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/backyardpropertypod?igsh=MWhkOWx5YzJxdDc3ag== Website: https://tuskfinance.com.au
Connect with Michael: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/tuskfinancemk Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mortgageswmichael LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/michaelkilliner TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@backyardpropertypodcast Tusk Finance: [email protected]
Chapters: (00:00) Room to breathe: the inflation print that changed things (00:30) Four things you'll walk away with (01:00) Cash rate hits 4.35% again (01:40) The jobs data that isn't what it seems (03:05) August hike odds collapse from 21% to 3% (03:30) The RBA's actual inflation target (04:20) Services and building costs still running hot (04:55) Housing accelerates to 6.8% (05:55) What it costs you on a $600k mortgage (06:30) What the economists are now saying (07:00) The oil price risk nobody's pricing in (07:45) What to actually do with this (08:20) Why you need to look under the headline (08:50) 3,000 subscribers and a big guest on Tuesday Produced by Podwave Studios: https://www.podwavestudios.au #RBA #InterestRates #AustralianEconomy #Inflation #CPI #MortgageAustralia #PropertyMarket #HomeLoans #TuskFinance #ThatBackyardPropertyPodcast #CashRate #AustralianProperty #RealEstateAustralia #FinanceAustralia #InterestRateHike #MortgageRates #HousingMarket #EconomicNews #BorrowingPower #VariableRateMortgage
More from That Backyard Property Podcast
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Book a consult with Michael: https://calendly.com/d/cwrg-969-cjc
Perth home values are down 3.2% from their April peak, but still up 15.6% on a year ago. In this mini episode, Michael Killiner breaks down how existing owners should decide whether to keep, sell or restructure: the marginal buyer question, how to sell well in a market with more stock, and the loan levers that often matter more than your rate, from resetting your loan term and checking your valuation to interest-only expiries, cross-securitised loans, the loyalty tax and whether to fix now.
Days on market in Perth have blown out from 8 days to 21, and sellers are still pricing like it is last year. In this episode, Michael Killiner sits down with Rowen Powell, Director of Verve Buyers Agency, to ask where the Perth market really sits right now and whether we will look back and wish we had bought more property. Rowen unpacks over 7,000 listings, why a 3.7% pullback needs context after 15.6% growth, what makes a compromise asset, and why buyers are holding out for scarcity and forever homes. They also dig into the gap between appraisals and what buyers will pay, the risk of leaning on computer valuations, and what actually wins an offer in Perth today. To finish, Rowen shares where he thinks the market lands in 6 and 12 months, and Michael looks at hold costs and whether forced selling could appear next year. Essential listening for buyers, sellers and investors who want to understand how to make calm, calculated decisions in a wait and see market. 🔔 Subscribe and leave a comment with your questions -- we build episodes around what YOU want to know. General advice only and not personal advice. CRN 485467 ------------------------------------------------------------ In this episode: - Why spring has not delivered the usual spike, with more than 7,000 listings and townhouses, apartments and outer fringe stock leading the increase. - How to read a 3.7% drop since April when the previous 12 months delivered 15.6% growth, and why a wet winter and post-budget mood skew the numbers. - What a compromise asset looks like, from busy roads and poor orientation to school zones and redevelopment risk, and why buyers now want a forever home. - The valuation gap, where a $1 million appraisal becomes a $950,000 sale, and why that $50,000 tax-free difference keeps sellers on the hill. - Why you should get more than one recent appraisal, and how computer valuations and bridging loans can leave sellers stuck. - What wins offers now, including clean contracts, flexible settlements and rent backs, plus the traps of buying off market. - Why the wrong house at a discount is still the wrong house, and how to stress test repayments and your offset buffer before you buy. ------------------------------------------------------------ Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@ThatBackyardPropertyPodcast Instagram: https://instagram.com/backyardpropertypod?igsh=MWhkOWx5YzJxdDc3ag== Website: https://tuskfinance.com.au Connect with Michael: Facebook: https://facebook.com/tuskfinancemk Instagram: https://instagram.com/mortgageswmichael LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/in/michaelkilliner TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@backyardpropertypodcast Tusk Finance: [email protected] ------------------------------------------------------------ Chapters: (0:00) Will we wish we bought more property (1:30) 7,000 listings and a wait and see market (3:05) Replacement cost and the market floor (4:30) A 3.7% drop after 15.6% growth (5:50) What a compromise asset looks like (8:00) Baldivis, Ocean Reef and a tiered market (12:00) The $50,000 tax-free valuation gap (14:20) Computer valuations and bridging risk (16:15) What wins offers in Perth now (19:15) The off market trap (20:55) Where the market sits in 6 and 12 months (22:40) Rates, hold costs and forced selling (24:45) Longer home opens and days on market ------------------------------------------------------------ Produced by Podwave Studios: https://www.podwavestudios.au #ThatBackyardPropertyPodcast #PropertyPodcast #PerthProperty #PropertyInvesting #BuyersAgent #VerveBuyersAgency #PerthRealEstate #PropertyMarket #HomeBuyers #TuskFinance
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